domingo, 22 de novembro de 2015

Attacks in Paris: What are the consequences for Europe?

Attacks in France creates fear and mistrust among Europeans, who charge more concrete actions for security on the continent.
Taking the train on the night of Friday from Paris to Brussels, I had a bad feeling ─ as well as people who had boarded with me.
I could see the nervousness in their eyes as they sought their seats and at the same time, looked sideways shy and suspicious manner. How could we know who could there be suspicious?
Those who sought to spread fear and mistrust, undermining the security and stability of Europe ─ that, in general, we take for granted - got what they wanted.
Since that happened the attacks in Paris ─ all in common places, we attend on a daily basis ─ in a restaurant, on a show and close to a football stadium, there is a feeling of "vulnerability" in Europe: between parents with small children in crowded buses, between couples in love going to the movies.
Roma are installing metal detectors at the Coliseum after the FBI warned the city that Italian monuments could be "targets of terrorism."
Brussels has canceled an annual festival of students in the city center because of security concerns. On Saturday, the Belgian capital raised the terror alert to the maximum level.
The Copenhagen Airport had one of its terminals closed after a warning about a "suspicious package".
Sweden raised the national alert after receiving information about a planned attack ─ same reason the friendly between Germany and the Netherlands was canceled hastily in Hannover midweek.
There are armed guards and soldiers on the subway train stations.
There are military operations going on in residential areas in Paris and Brussels, and the search for gunmen and other suspects linked to attacks in the French capital continues.
The persons accompanying news are used to seeing this kind of disturbing image in the Middle East. But now they fear the chaos and bloodshed has come "at the doorstep".
United against the "EI"?
French President Francois Hollande, who usually does not usually talk much, already proclaimed a "war" against the group calling itself "Islamic state" this week.
Agree with him or not, these words have enormous consequences ─ for the French foreign policy in the Middle East, for civil liberties in France and for Europe as a whole.
The public outrage that engulfed the world after the attacks in Paris united European countries (at least superficially) ─ after a period of disagreements over the flow of immigrants and the euro crisis.
And the attacks in Paris can also "catalyze" a movement to bring Russia closer again.
France declared that wants to destroy the "EI" after the extremist group has taken over the authorship of the attacks in the French capital. But France can not do it alone. Russia is the leading candidate to help her in this task ─ and Moscow wants to seize the moment to end the sanctions imposed on the country after the annexation of the Crimea Peninsula.
The recent G20 meeting in Turkey had scenes that would be considered unlikely until then: the Russian President Vladimir Putin, speaking to the US president, Barack Obama, and the UK Prime Minister David Cameron.
It is still early to talk about a great "anti-coalition EI", but there are rumors that it may come soon.
Schengen Agreement
The timing is also critical for security issues in Europe.
The French Interior Minister, Bernard Cazeneuve, rebuked his fellow ministers for having "long lost" in the fight against terrorism and called for concrete actions.
Now the debate is being directed to the Schengen Agreement, signed in 1997, which sealed the free movement of people in 26 countries of the European Union.
The agreement is considered one of the greatest achievements of the European Union, but now has been criticized because it also ended up allowing the free movement of terrorists ─ one of the mentors of the attacks, for example, Abdelhamid Abaaoud, born in Belgium, traveled from Syria to the France without being identified.
France is now asking for a more effective use of the Schengen Information System, a database that would allow the security forces do alerts about individuals, objects and vehicles.
The country also wants to facilitate passenger information sharing traveling by plane and supports the creation of a genuine European agency to police the external borders ─ something that some ministers have objected.
Promises
The political promises tend to multiply after atrocities like those perpetrated in Paris, but a British security adviser told me that the secret services like to keep their information as well, secret.
Unfortunately, Europe has been the target of several terrorist attacks recently.
After Madrid in 2004 and London in 2005 and the attack on French satirical weekly Charlie Hebdo, promises were made of a "cooperation across borders."
But it eventually became, in effect, a "dispute between the borders."
Perhaps now occur differently.
There is a sense of greater urgency, with a growing prospect of further attacks.
The followers of Le Pen in France, the Wilders fans in the Netherlands, and of the Salvini in Italy want Europe to create a bridge with immigrants, but attacks in Paris raised the jihadist problem growing indoors.
The attacks on innocents in Paris are having a huge impact on Europe as a whole.
Discussions on immigrants, borders, the Schengen agreement, civil liberties, Assad, the Islamic State and etc are boiling.
But once things are settling, which proposals and discussions will turn into concrete actions?

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